logo
 
?

блэкджек книги

Has anybody read the new book, First Base Blackjack? It's pricey at $62 and like some others in the past, advocates that card clumping vastly alters random hand probabilities.

I read the inside preview pages of this short, 80 page book and it clearly misuses some basic probability equations to prove its point.

Nevertheless, whenever I witness extremely rare events at the table, I again become curious about this claim.

Clumping does alter random hand probabilities if it is done intentionally though false shuffles and such.

Player losses due to normal random clumping as part of normal shuffles is already figured into the EV of the game.

Clumping is inevitable in any 312 or 416 or 104 card deck.

Random shuffles does not mean evenly distributed...fact an unshuffled pack of cards is when the distribution of individual cards is most even. Now a false shuffle can group bigs with bigs and Aces with smalls and this gives the casino a huge advantage.

I've heard that some casinos in Eastern Europe have used this method to cheat players.

I think this book is just some moron trying to blame the normal clumping that happens in a random shuffle as being part of some overall casino conspiracy.

Unfortunately, the authors don’t say anything about going to select casinos in Eastern Europe.

Their claim is that Basic Strategy is a fraud perpetrated by casinos, card counting doesn’t work and the counting books are frauds, all casino have shuffles that are designed to clump cards and cheat the players, etc. Clumping does alter random hand probabilities if it is done intentionally though false shuffles and such.

Funny you mention this, I ran a while ago a silly sim: The following image has two sims of the same game except that the first one uses the RNG of CVData to generate random shuffles and the second is very non-random shuffle where two 156 card grabs are riffled once.